Bitcoin
Bitcoin Annualized Volatility Falls to 43%, Trailing Nearly a Fifth of S&P 500 Equities
Grayscale data indicates Bitcoin's one-year volatility has compressed to 43%, positioning the cryptocurrency below approximately 95 companies in the S&P 500 index.
According to data compiled by Grayscale through Bloomberg, Bitcoin's 12-month realized volatility fell to 43% annualized, compared to 81% five years ago and a 10-year historical average of 64%. The decline places Bitcoin's price fluctuations below roughly 19% of S&P 500 components, representing about 95 listed companies.
Grayscale's comparative ranking showed JPMorgan volatility near 20% and Amazon around 30%, while Bitcoin placed just above 40%. Several major equities displayed higher volatility, including Oracle at roughly 55%, Coinbase around 70%, and Sandisk exceeding 100%. Grayscale attributed the dampening volatility to deeper liquidity, expanded institutional adoption, and regulated investment vehicles.
At 43% annualized over 365 trading days, Bitcoin's typical daily price swing sits near 2.3%, down from 4.2% daily when volatility measured 81%. However, the article notes that realized volatility is backward-looking and assumes a standard distribution, whereas Bitcoin remains subject to sudden market shocks that differ from standard statistical models.
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